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Hurricane Estimate Predicted 3 Days Ago

Hurricane Estimate Predicted 3 Days Ago

October 26, 2012

I examined the hurricane in detail. I still think it will hit to our north, a wild guess is Atlantic City (I was originally guessing NY) .  It doesn't matter, either way we get clobbered. There has never been a hurricane like this in weather records that actually angles in so much that it hits the coast at this latitude directly. Even if it misses us & hits to the north, we still will get 60-80 mph winds. It is the perfect scenario for a real mess. We have a strong cold front dipping to our west angling to the east at the southern part & a high pressure to our northeast blocking the hurricane from going out to sea. This will hang around a few days!

So, hold on to your hats, say goodbye to the remaining leafs (& trees). Most of us will lose our electricity for a few days to a few weeks! There is only a 10% chance it will miss us completely. The hurricane winds will cover about 200 miles (900 for tropical storm winds). The important thing to remember is that Baltimore usually only gets a glancing blow from a hurricane since is always comes up the coast or has weakened greatly when it comes up from the land from the south. This one is coming in at a sharp angle from the sea. It is so large in size, it will not miss us. The best scenario we can hope for is to just get tropical winds & only 3+ inches of rain.

THIS IS A RARE BIGGIE!

MT
PS-Estimate 60-70 mph winds and 6-12 inches of rain (20+ locally).
PSS-Hurricanes are impossible to predict since they act like a spinning top. This one is getting closed in with the other weather systems. Therefore , we can predict this one within 200 miles with a high degree of accuracy! At this time, the European model that has been the most accurate the last few storms has it coming in up the Bay directly slamming just south of Baltimore (worst scenario-hurricanes strongest section is the northeast sector). The US model which has missed the last few storms has the hurricane slamming just south of NY giving NY City the worst hit. I'll stick to Atlantic City. 

Your guess is as good as mine when it comes to "a spinning top"  (I don't do windows or hurricanes).

MT

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Re: Hurricane Estimate Predicted 3 Days Ago

Mark

So what is the bottom line? Are you going to wuss out from cycling for a few days?  Steve has a ride scheduled for tomorrow.  It is a practice-for-global-warming-weather ride. I am sure he will not cancel. Are you not coming out?

I have put my wind tires on and am ready to go.

Traffic should be very light.

ed

Ed Hopkins
ed.hopkins@verizon.net

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Re: Hurricane Estimate Predicted 3 Days Ago

A different ride may be offered depending on weather.
http://www.arteauto.com/images/products/detail/Hurricane_Bicycles_original_advertising_poster_June_2012_240.jpg

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Re: Hurricane Estimate Predicted 3 Days Ago

From what I have seen, there are still lots of cars out on the road.  Are there really that many 'essential employees' who absolutely must get to work?

Myslím, že je ?cas, abych se létat.

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